Sorry, I can't buy that. the industry in the U.S. is nowhere nearly well enough developed for anyone in the FAA to be "holding out" in favour of setting up their friends first...that's paranoia. What "contracts" would they be issuing? I think a far more likely scenario is that the FAA badly misread and underestimated the potential for UAV's...I think they Still are, when they make statements like they expect there to be 7500 UAVs in the US by 2020...there would be 5 times that many lic. applications the first week.
I think they have put the entire issue on "ignore" to a large degree, expecting it to go the way of the airship, and the power paraglider, gyrocopter, etc.
Sure, there are examples of all of those things around today, but not many, and usually in "niche" applications, when at various times all of them were touted as the "next Big Thing". I truly believe the FAA (who had the same challenges thrown at them with each of the things I mentioned) look at UAV's , which had been around in two basic forms for years; the militarized "small airplane" and the hobby builder version made from fibreglass or CF arrow shafts and airplane motors that barely flew, and said..."No one is going to have a use for these things, why kill ourselves writing legislation for something that isn't going to turn into anything anyway? The pay is still the same if we do it, or not"
Well...all of a sudden, they were way off base, they were really under the gun, and they hadn't put word one to paper, and UAV's were becoming a very vibrant industry, very quickly. Panic time.
I worked in the aviation industry in Canada for 40 years, half of that with the Canadian equivalent of the FAA, Transport Canada. I've seen countless occasions on BOTH sides of the border where the two agencies have done exactly what it appears the FAA is doing now; procrastinate, and hope the "problem" goes away. Transport Canada was surprisingly pro-active here, and actually has a rudimentary program in place where a Special Flight Operations Permit can be issued for commercial UAV operations. It's FAR from convenient, or perfect....it's head and shoulders ahead of what's available in that regard in the U.S. though. Now that both agencies have seen and felt the pressure that modern UAVs have imposed on them, they have no choice but to do something. The fact that Trappy's fine was turfed is a wonderful thing; they also learned that they cannot continue to ignore the obvious and avoid the inevitable by fining their way along for another couple of years. They have to start earning their pay and start developing regulations. My biggest fear is that they will do what many Government agencies are wont to do; over-regulate.
I think that if folks don't take this victory as justification to develop the mass "stupids" and start flying everywhere and anywhere with no regard for safety or common sense, something good may come of it. The majority will; it's the minority that worry me. Good news...10 thousand UAV operators doing it the right way, with no incidents; isn't newsworthy. One idiot launching a Phantom off his balcony in Manhattan and flying it into a building...that wipes out those 10 thousand safe evolutions in a heartbeat.